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The Election and the Supreme Court

 

“… I will appoint ‘originalist’ justices to the Supreme Court…”

Giuliani

 

 

In this election campaign we hear a great deal about the appointment of Justices of the Supreme Court of the United States (SCOTUS) as being a defining issue in our selection process. Now that the true ideological conservatives have left the race, we hear it even more often than before, kind of like the Bogeyman is used to frighten children into doing what their parents want them to do.

“If Hillary (Obama, Edwards) is elected, we can expect her to appoint three really liberal justices.”

“Giuliani (McCain, whomever) has promised to appoint ‘originalist’ justices.”

Let’s try to take a dispassionate look at what’s really at stake.

First of all, the two Justices most likely to retire are Ginsburg and Stevens. They’re the oldest. Both are very strongly partisan, to the point where they’d probably die in office rather than retire with a Republican President in office. If the Democrat wins the election, and they retire, that President would be able to appoint replacements that we can expect would be philosophically identical, so the current court composition would remain essentially unchanged.

Their polar opposite is Scalia, who would also probably die in office rather than retire with a Democrat President in office.

Three of the younger members – Alito, Roberts and Thomas – are pretty reliably constructionist, are nowhere near retirement, and so will probably remain on the bench at least throughout the next administration.

Kennedy, a Ford appointee, is on the young side and seems to have stepped into the Sandra Day O’Connor role as wild card. However, he does tend to side with the Scalia/Thomas bloc and is less unpredictable than O’Connor, though with a tendency to water down strong decisions.

Breyer is young, liberal, and a Clinton appointee. He’s not going anywhere for quite a while.

Then there’s Souter, a Bush 1 appointee, who was conservative-leaning from 1990 until 1993 when he became a member of the liberal wing of SCOTUS.

We also have to consider also-ran Harriet Miers, Bush 2’s first SCOTUS appointee, a member of his Texas Mafia with no judicial experience at all. Who knows how she would have turned out, as she has absolutely no judicial record to examine.

What does all of this tell us as we consider it? The first thing that’s obvious is that judicial appointments are always a crapshoot. Souter started out conservative and swung liberal. But more importantly, a President who doesn’t have a firm basis in conservatism is unlikely to appoint dependably originalist (conservative) Justices. Bush 1 appointed Souter, Ford appointed Kennedy, Bush 2 wanted to appoint the unknown quantity Miers until his feet were held to the fire by conservatives. However, all the Justices appointed by Democrats have remained staunch liberals in their rulings and decisions.

So what does all this tell us about the election? First, a campaign promise is always open to “reinterpretation” once the candidate is in office. One man’s “originalist” is another man’s “too conservative to appoint”. Experience shows us that “less than conservative” Republicans tend to appoint less-than-originalist Justices. But there are no hard and fast rules; O’Connor was a Reagan appointee.

I predict that if the Democrat wins the White House, he/she may get two appointment opportunities: Ginsburg and Stevens. The net result is the balance of the Court remains unchanged.

If the Republican wins the race, he will probably get no appointment opportunities in his first term, barring ill health or death. If he should win a second term, he may STILL get no appointment opportunities barring ill health or death.

The only way the SCOTUS issue becomes important to the campaign is if a Republican wins, and if either Ginsburg or Stevens (or both) leave the bench due to health issues or death, and if that Republican lives up to his promise to appoint truly originalist judges, AND if those judges end up actually performing as advertised.

That’s a lot of “ifs”.

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Notable Quotes



I, and many conservatives, take a constant drubbing for placing our principles of conservatism above the idea of winning individual elections. I know I went through this during both of Arnold “Governator RINO” Schwarzenegger’s elections because I refused to vote for him. Now we’re seeing the same scenario played out on the national stage as the GOP continues to field and promote candidates who are neo- or faux-cons while abandoning true conservatives, all while chasing a non-existent uncommitted independent demographic. “A vote for Candidate X is the only vote that will defeat Hillary/Obamarama/Edwards”. “Your stupid fixation on the outdated Second Amendment is going to cost us the election and losses on (Larger Issue Y)”. “You inflexible drones are actually Democrat agents/trolls/provocateurs/enablers in disguise”. Etcetera, ad nauseum. You get the picture.

I have to laugh at this, and wonder what today’s politicos, and indeed tomorrow’s historians, would think had the same mentality taken place at some key junctures in our history.

In that vein, here are some quotes that took place in an alternate Universe. I’ll leave it to you, the Gentle Reader, to make your own judgments as to how the world would be better or worse if today’s political “pragmatism” was followed at those junctures in our history.

For better or worse – and laugh or don’t, as you see fit – here we go.

“Well, we might lose that war. Better not fight it.” Abraham Lincoln

“Expansionism? Better not. I might get killed.” Alexander the Great

“Those mountains are HUGE! Okay, boys, turn around.” Hannibal at the Alps

“Well, okay. Maybe the Sun does revolve around the Earth.”  Galileo to his Inquisitors

“Damn the torpedoes! Turn this boat around, and head for home!” Farragut at the Battle of Mobile Bay

“Okay, I came and saw it. But conquering? Sounds risky.”  Julius Caesar

“Winning? Yeah, it’s okay…..” Vince Lombardi

“Well… I’m feeling kind of punky today. Find someone else to do it.” Paul Revere

“Damn, it’s cold! We’re outta here.” George Washington at Valley Forge

“Maybe we should just wait here.”  Teddy Roosevelt at the foot of San Juan Hill

“We have not yet begun to fight. So let’s beat it before we get hurt.” John Paul Jones

“Give me Liberty, or you’ll hear from my attorney.” Patrick Henry

Well, as I contemplate those fine quotes, I have to consider: might we not be better living in the world that these fine examples of “courage” would have wrought? Isn’t it better to live in the world of Oprah and Dr. Phil than one in which we have to make sacrifices that could, possibly, be uncomfortable?

Maybe not.

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Death Penalty

“No person shall be held to answer for a capital, or otherwise infamous crime…nor shall any person be subject for the same offence to be twice put in jeopardy of life or limb… nor be deprived of life… without due process of law…”

5th Amendment to the United States Constitution  

 

So long quiescent, almost somnolent, the issue of the death penalty has again stepped into the theater of the national debate, enter Stage Left.

The state of New Jersey has abolished the death penalty, and the Supreme Court of the United States (SCOTUS) has agreed to hear a case involving the issue of whether or not lethal injection may be “cruel and unusual punishment” under the terms of the Eighth Amendment.

Of course, accompanying this, we now hear – yet again – all the usual suspects raising all the usual objections to the death penalty itself.

First, as to the decision in New Jersey, that state is perfectly within the scope of its powers under federalism to decide for itself to ban the death penalty for crimes over which it has jurisdiction. So we can set that aside.

As to the case before SCOTUS, it seems to me that the issue is easily resolved. All they have to do is require that the method of anaesthetization used in lethal injection be the same used in major surgery, and the discussion’s over. The appellants have claimed that the current method merely immobilizes the Guest Of Honor, masking his real underlying agony as he’s put down. Of course, the current method is the same used by doctors performing major surgery on paying patients, but let’s cut those Lefties some slack and make the requirement mandatory. In the interest of uniformity. It will be pretty hard for them to make this absurd claim again in the future, because many people have had major surgery, and don’t wake up telling tales of torture under the knife while they’ve been sliced and diced like Thanksgiving turkeys, and so hopefully common sense will ultimately prevail (I hope I don’t sound too naïve there). And of course, there’s the alternative with results so instantaneous that the human nervous system has no chance to react: the guillotine. My personal favorite. Great results in accord with the Eighth Amendment; high entertainment value.

However that issue’s resolved at SCOTUS, we can expect to see those “usual suspects’” usual anti-capital punishment arguments resurface, so let’s review a few of them.

An innocent person might be executed by mistake:
  There’s no evidence this has actually happened in the modern era, and it is less likely to happen as we move forward. But I have to concede it is a possibility. Are we supposed to suspend executions until the judicial system is perfect? Nothing created my man is perfect, so we’d be de facto permanently banning executions. Further, there’s a cost in lives to all social policies. Those who claim such concern over the possibility of an innocent person being executed can never answer one question I invariably ask: if that one innocent life is so important that it justifies abandoning our entire policy on the death penalty, are you willing to lower the freeway speed limits to 15 miles per hour? That would save tens of thousands of innocent lives annually. Because that is the cost we as a society have deemed acceptable for the social policy of high-speed transportation on our national highway system.

Further, should we also stop putting people in prison because of the theoretical “innocent” man? Where do we draw the line?

The system is racist and stacked against minorities:
  Easy to claim, hard to prove. The system is “stacked” FOR people with the money to afford talented counsel, and some minority groups consist of large segments of folks without those resources. Money does buy better things in life, and that’s just a fact of life. OJ Simpson’s Black, and he got away with stone-cold double homicide. Further, some minorities are responsible for more violent crimes than are proportional to their demographic, and that’s just a fact, too. So, obviously, they’ll also be disproportionally represented as criminal defendants.

If the system’s “stacked” at all, it’s stacked against poor people… who, incidentally, commit the majority of violent crimes. But the Constitution doesn’t guarantee anything other than “due process”, and rich people can simply afford better help. As is the case in all aspects of life; that’s why everyone wants to be rich!

The death penalty is unconstitutionally cruel or unusual punishment:
 
As we can see in the quote from the Fifth Amendment, the death penalty is perfectly constitutional as long as due process is afforded the defendant.

It’s also interesting to me that almost invariably the same folks who so worry about convicted murderers being executed don’t even blink at the idea of millions of true innocents being slaughtered under the umbrella of abortion on demand. The irony and hypocrisy totally escapes them.

They’re also oblivious to the victims, past and potential future, that fall prey to these heinous creatures. Liberalism truly does require that one be willing to blind himself to any facts or ideas that cast the dogma into doubt.

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Light Bulbs and Dim Bulbs


 

“The debate is over” (Gore et al)

 

The Pythagorean Theorem has been…

Hold on a sec! I know what you’re thinking: “The Pythagorean Theorem? Isn’t that math??? What the heck’s he babbling about? I wonder what’s on Dr. Phil.”

Well, work with me here for a minute, okay? Now…

The Pythagorean Theorem has been around for a couple thousand years, and is regarded as a mathematical constant, one of the foundations of geometry. Einstein’s Theory of Relativity is one of the basic building blocks of astrophysics. Both are used as tools to accomplish very complex equations in various scientific fields. Both also remain classified as “theories”, because they haven’t been conclusively proven in all possible conditions that may exist. Yet the scientific community is unanimous in treating these theories as being, for all intents and purposes, “laws” of science.

On the other hand, we have the idea of Anthropogenic (man-made) Global Warming (AGW), pushed by environmental extremists who take a naturally occurring phenomenon that has been in effect throughout the history of the Earth – climactic cycling – and arbitrarily assign Mankind as being the determinative and causative agent for the latest round of temperature flux. AGW barely qualifies as a theory, is founded in a “science” in its infancy (climactic modeling) which uses selective data in reaching its conclusions (it doesn’t factor in precipitation – rain – for instance), is strongly opposed by much of the relevant scientific community, and can be easily refuted scientifically.

However, we’re told by AGW’s disciples that the issue is settled, the debate is over, and a consensus has been reached. Well, science isn’t an election where people vote on the outcome. Science is a discipline requiring observable, replicable, and empirical data, not politically motivated opinion. There was a time when scientific consensus also held the Earth to be flat; that the Sun revolved around the Earth; that if trains ever exceeded 20 miles per hour the passengers would suffocate, as the air wouldn’t be able to keep up; and other ideas we now consider silly. Consensus is overrated when it comes to science.

Now we have the latest round of silliness inspired by the hysteria over AGW, what I dub the Light Bulb Panic of 2007. Starting with our putatively Republican Governator here in California and continued on the national level by our “compassionately conservative” El Presidente, regular, Plain Jane incandescent light bulbs have been outlawed, to be replaced – mandatorily – by compact fluorescent lamps (CFLs). In a mere few years, you will no longer be able to decide for yourself what type of lighting you wish to enjoy in your own home; the Government has made that decision for you.

Do you like the warmth and intimacy of the golden hue of a SoftGlow bulb in your living room? Tough! Do you find fluorescent light to be flat and harsh? Tough! Does the sub-perceptual “flickering” give you headaches? Tough! Does the high price of CFLs strike you as being a waste of your hard-earned money? Tough again! The mercury in CFLs is a disposal problem, what about that? Uh, we’ll get back to you on that.

The dim bulbs in positions of governmental power have made the decision for you. The mandarins have spoken.

What’s particularly disturbing about this is that these mandates have been turned into law by members of the political party – the GOP – that’s supposed to stand for smaller and less intrusive government, the party of free-market solutions and individual choice and responsibility. In a very real sense, Gore and his fellow AGW nut-jobs may be right when they say the debate is over, if no one in a position of authority has the guts to stand up to these clowns and tell them to shut up and sit down.

What’s next? We already have mandates for “low flow” toilets. How about regulators that limit your showers in duration and frequency? Every other day, for five minutes. My, won’t those elevator rides be fun? How about thermostats that don’t allow heat settings above 68 degrees, or air conditioner settings below 80 degrees? Car engine regulators that don’t allow speeds in excess of 45 mph? Yeah, that trip to Grandma’s house will be lots of fun now! Porsche can fold up tent; dump your stock. The possibilities are endless once we as a society buy into this idiocy as being justified and a proper exercise of governmental power.

If we continue down this never-ending path of paternalistic and intrusive Big Government, then WE will be the dim bulbs who sat idly by while our freedoms were simply eroded away bit by bit, like a river turning a boulder into gravel and sand. Then one day, we or our grandchildren will wake up, look around, and realize freedom is nothing but a fading memory. An ideal sacrificed on the altar of the new religion of environmental pseudo-science.

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